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Everything you need to know about today’s weather
Hundreds of thousands of people are being urged to stay home on Thursday as life-threatening gale force winds blast parts of the country.
Rare red wind warnings are in place, there’s a state of emergency in Canterbury, and officials warn gusts of up to 150km/h could topple trees, send debris flying, lift roofs and cause widespread power cuts.
Here’s what you need to know.
Take warnings seriously
Red wind warnings are in place in the following areas on Thursday:
- Wellington and Wairarapa south of Carterton: 7am to 7pm
- Marlborough from Cape Campbell south (including the Kaikōura Coast): 5am to 5pm
- Christchurch and Canterbury plains: 9am to 4pm
- Canterbury High Country: 1am to 5pm
Metservice meteorologist Lewis Ferris said people should take the wind warnings seriously.
“We do reserve these red warnings for the most intense weather systems that we’ve seen,” he said.
“This is something that you should be preparing for, and doing as much as you can to … reduce the risk of impact to yourself, to others, to infrastructure,” he said.
He said northwesterly winds – which are forecast – come with strong gusts which can catch people off guard.
“You might catch a little lull, but don’t get caught out, because that wind will just return,” he said.
A state of emergency is in place in Canterbury, due to the dangerous mix of strong winds and fire risk.
There was no state of emergency in Wellington or Wairarapa because the conditions did not meet the threshold, said Wellington Region Emergency Management Office manager Dan Neely.
“However, we will continue to actively review it as the situation evolves,” he said.
Power could be out for days
Lines companies warned power cuts could be widespread, and continue for days.
They said in some cases it would be too dangerous for crews to clamber up poles and fix lines due to the wind.
Many have beefed up their teams in preparation for a big few days.
In Canterbury, Orion general manager Steve Macdonald said lines companies in the South Island would work together to ensure crews were available where they’re needed most.
Hundreds were without power around Kaikōura overnight, and more than 1000 Wairarapa properties have had their power cut since wild winds on Tuesday.
It was unclear how many more could be affected across the country, but Wellington Electricity chief executive Greg Skelton urged people to be ready.
“People may need to prepare for three or four days of no supply, at the worst case,” he said.
Power companies were urging people to secure any loose items that could be whipped up by the wind and damage power lines and poles.
Power lines down in Riversdale, Wairarapa. Photo: RNZ / Mark Papalii
Transport cancellations and disruptions
In Wellington and Wairarapa, Metlink has cancelled all train services between 8am and 6pm.
The Hutt Valley and Kāpiti lines will have limited bus replacements, but the Melling, Johnsonville and Wairarapa lines won’t.
The East by West ferry service is cancelled.
In Christchurch, bus operator Metro said its services were running as normal but people should check their website before travelling.
Both Wellington and Christchurch airports will stay open, but they expected flight delays and disruptions.
People should check with their airlines before heading to the airport, they said.
Air New Zealand said anyone flying to or from Wellington, Christchurch, or Dunedin on Thursday could change their flight to any time within 48 hours of the original booking, for free, via the airline’s app.
Waka Kotahi said people in affected areas should avoid or delay driving.
“The danger is especially high for those operating motorcycles, high-sided vehicles such as campervans and unladen trucks, and towing vehicles.
“Our advice to road users is to check out the weather and roading conditions well in advance of heading out onto the roads, and to give some thought to whether your travel is better avoided or delayed while the risk is high.”
Fire risks and bans
Fire crews are continuing to battle blazes in Kaikōura and Hawke’s Bay, and a total fire and fireworks ban is in place for Canterbury, Marlborough, Wellington and Hawke’s Bay.
Evacuated Kaikōura residents were allowed back home on Wednesday, but they should be prepared to leave again, Fire and Emergency said.
While the fire was contained, that could easily change with strong winds on Thursday.
In Hawke’s Bay, helicopters trying to tackle three fires near Pōrangahau were grounded on Wednesday due to strong winds.
It’s unlikely they would fly on Thursday because of the strong wind watch in place.
The terrain is steep and remote, which makes it challenging for fire crews on the ground, said pilot Nick Bradshaw.
A helicopter dampening a fire on SH1 in Kaikōura. Photo: RNZ/Nathan Mckinnon
Wind changes plans for mega strike action
Today’s mega strike is still going ahead in some places, but picketing has been cancelled in others.
It’s considered the biggest industrial action in 40 years, with estimates 100,000 people could walk off the job.
Many rallies were called off because of the dangerous wind forecast but a big one is still set for Auckland.
Several towns are also hosting smaller protests where weather allows.
rnz
Analysis – Three years ago, Christopher Luxon headed into his first head-to-head debate with Chris Hipkins on the back of a poll that had National on 37 points and able to form a government with ACT alone.
Labour under then-Prime Minister Chris Hipkins was on a downward spiral on 27 percent in that same 1News-Verian poll and had no path to power.
Fast-forward three years and both parties headed into Tuesday night’s debate with two fresh new polls.
RNZ-Reid Research’s results had National on 26 percent and Labour on 31, while 1News-Verian had a much tighter race with just one point in it and both parties just under 30.
Those results spell early retirement and unemployment for a decent number of National Party MPs currently enjoying the government benches.
MMP has evolved so much in the past two elections that the combined Labour-National vote has gone from 81 percent at the 2017 election to just 57 in Tuesday’s RNZ-Reid Research poll.
So-called minor parties have grown in both size and influence, capturing the imagination of voters that traditionally voted blue or red.
Increasingly polling is suggesting another new party – Opportunity – has a good chance of making it into Parliament and being a potential kingmaker.
There’s now a very real possibility that the next government could be made up of four political parties.
That has happened before under Sir John Key’s National government in 2008, but because he chose to welcome the Māori Party into the fold, not because he had to.
The minor parties of 2026 have leverage and power going into any coalition talks well beyond any previous election years.
It makes a head-to-head between Christopher Luxon and Chris Hipkins far more redundant in this political age.
TVNZ/Harley Peters
They can’t fully commit to any of the promises they make because the slate is almost entirely wiped clean after 7 November when political parties sit down to discuss what a future government might look like.
Luxon has ruled out working with Opportunity after the election because of its land tax policy and National campaigning on no new taxes.
On Tuesday night he repeatedly refused to answer whether he would pick the phone up if he needed the party to be prime minister.
Instead, he repeated his previous comments about an untenable land tax, and then told reporters after the debate the question was a “hypothetical” that didn’t need an answer.
To be clear, that’s not a no.
At times in the debate the leaders could have been put in a time machine and transported back to three years ago, so similar were some of the issues and answers to them.
The cost of living crisis continued to be the overwhelming theme, a healthcare system under pressure and patients waiting too long in emergency departments hadn’t improved, and neither Chris had fully grasped the meaning of a yes or no question.
There was no big revelation or pledge – on the latter neither party has the headroom in their fiscal plans to do so.
It’s unlikely undecided voters watching were swayed one way or the other by the end of it.
That’s not to say the two Chrises performed badly.
They were both across their briefs, and while they had some nervous energy at the outset both settled into a comfortable rhythm and got their key messages across.
While Hipkins managed to land a few blows on Luxon over his failure to discipline New Zealand First’s Winston Peters and Shane Jones over racist remarks, Luxon in return made a strong argument on education and had Hipkins concede he had done what Labour couldn’t and got India across the line on a free trade agreement.
The biggest controversy of the night was the pair being asked to pick between the All Blacks and the Warriors with Luxon going Team ABs while Hipkins chose to “Up the Wahs”.
Both would have gone to bed happy with their performance and grateful they didn’t say or do anything they deeply regretted.
There is a week until they face-off again – another week of smiling at the cameras and hoping voters return them to the major party league.
rnz
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