{"id":8423,"date":"2023-11-22T05:13:35","date_gmt":"2023-11-21T16:13:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=8423"},"modified":"2023-11-22T05:13:35","modified_gmt":"2023-11-21T16:13:35","slug":"who-knows-what-the-summer-is-going-to-bring-el-nino-expected-to-increase-fire-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=8423","title":{"rendered":"‘Who knows what the summer is going to bring’: El Ni\u00f1o expected to increase fire risk"},"content":{"rendered":"

Fire and Emergency (FENZ) officials at the scene of\u00a0Monday’s Port Hills fire<\/a>\u00a0are stressing “vigilance” ahead of what is shaping up as an unpredictable summer.<\/p>\n

Crews have contained the blaze, which ignited at about midday on Monday, and scorched an area of the northern slopes of the Port Hills, near Hillsborough.<\/p>\n

But the emergency has sparked further questions as to whether this could be a sign of things to come, with\u00a0El Ni\u00f1o predicted to make conditions drier and windier<\/a>.<\/p>\n

One resident, forced to act quickly at the time as flames threatened her land, admitted her neck of the woods at the base of the Port Hills naturally came with risk.<\/p>\n

The mountain ranges have been susceptible to fire in recent years, none bigger than the\u00a02017 fires<\/a>\u00a0that destroyed nine homes and forced hundreds to evacuate.<\/p>\n

A helicopter pilot was killed when their chopper crashed when fighting the devastating blaze.<\/p>\n

Another fire broke out\u00a0in December 2020<\/a>, forcing dozens of nearby properties to be evacuated.<\/p>\n

\"A<\/p>\n

A helicopter in Hillsborough involved in fighting a fire in the Port Hills on 20 November 2023.\u00a0<\/span>Photo:\u00a0RNZ \/ Rachel Graham<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

A cause is still being determined for Monday’s blaze, and although it was largely contained, an area flared up shortly after 5am Tuesday morning.<\/p>\n

FENZ group manager Des Irving said crews spent the morning “checking for hotspots and turning the soil over”.<\/p>\n

“We are planning for a warm and dry summer. Who knows what the summer is going to bring.”<\/p>\n

Irving said locals could allay risk by ensuring grass was cut and firewood not stacked against their buildings. This recommendation extended to local authorities, he said.<\/p>\n

Another precaution was checking the weather forecast before burn-offs.<\/p>\n

“I think what’s key is that people are vigilant, and if they see any signs of smoke they call 111.”<\/p>\n

Scene commanders were hoping to have departed the scene by 2pm.<\/p>\n

A woman who lived along Port Hills Road, who did not want to be named, was alerted to the blaze when a neighbour rushed to warn her. She then saw flames threatening a section of trees at the back of her property.<\/p>\n

“I basically checked on the animals\u2026 it always makes you think if you have to leave in a hurry, what are you going to take.”<\/p>\n

Firefighters utilised a track through the back of her section to get access to the fire, as they did back in 2020, she said.<\/p>\n

Although she had become accustomed to emergencies, she told RNZ she refused to get apprehensive about the coming summer.<\/p>\n

“I’m living next to the Port Hills\u2026 there’s dead trees, there’s live trees, there’s pine cones, there’s grass, I would say it’s as much a risk as anywhere in Canterbury.<\/p>\n

“We’re coming into summer and it’s getting hotter and the risk is getting higher. But it’s not going to make me go and crawl into a concrete box.”<\/p>\n

She was equally worried about the neighbouring industrial area along State Highway 76, which she felt posed a risk.<\/p>\n

\"A<\/p>\n

The Port Hills fire on Monday.\u00a0<\/span>Photo:\u00a0Supplied \/ Sharleen Duncan<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

El Ni\u00f1o effect<\/h3>\n

Scion wildfire scientist Shana Gross said El Ni\u00f1o would increase fire risk, particularly for eastern parts of the country.<\/p>\n

“It will depend on what weather we see, because every El Ni\u00f1o is variable. El Ni\u00f1o is probably only 25 percent of the variability that we see in the weather. But this year is different because the ocean is so warm already.”<\/p>\n

Human activities were also seen as the cause of most fire ignitions in New Zealand, Gross said.<\/p>\n

“In the Port Hills, there are a lot of grasses which burn pretty readily, and winds will dry them out so they can burn easier.<\/p>\n

“Everyone needs to be really aware of the activities that they’re doing.”<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

rnz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fire and Emergency (FENZ) officials at the scene of\u00a0Monday’s Port Hills fire\u00a0are stressing “vigilance” ahead of what is shaping up as an unpredictable summer. Crews have contained the blaze, which ignited at about midday on Monday, and scorched an area of the northern slopes of the Port Hills, near Hillsborough. But the emergency has sparked […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":8424,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[222,174],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","category-nz-news"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8423","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8423"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8423\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8425,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8423\/revisions\/8425"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8424"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8423"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8423"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8423"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}