{"id":8382,"date":"2023-11-14T05:21:03","date_gmt":"2023-11-13T16:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=8382"},"modified":"2023-11-14T05:21:03","modified_gmt":"2023-11-13T16:21:03","slug":"coalition-talks-cast-uncertainty-over-nationals-foreign-buyers-tax","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=8382","title":{"rendered":"Coalition talks cast uncertainty over National&#8217;s foreign buyers tax"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The incoming prime minister maintains his government will reduce taxes, but Christopher Luxon has been less willing to stand by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/national\/programmes\/checkpoint\/audio\/2018905171\/luxury-property-agent-says-international-buyers-now-looking-to-nz\">the overseas home buyers policy<\/a>\u00a0that is meant to fund it.<\/p>\n<p>National&#8217;s election promise would allow foreign buyers to purchase homes for $2 million or more, as long as they pay a 15 percent tax on the sale price.<\/p>\n<p>It predicted this would raise $740 million a year, a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/political\/497995\/election-23-nicola-willis-hits-back-over-economists-doubts-on-national-foreign-buyers-tax-numbers\">figure\u00a0some leading economists dismiss as not credible<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Luxon said the promised tax cuts will be delivered, but the way they are paid for may change as a result of the ongoing coalition negotiations with ACT and New Zealand First.<\/p>\n<p>So if it scraps a foreign buyers tax, how will the government raise the money needed for its tax policy, estimated to cost $14.6 billion over four years?<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It is tricky &#8211; there aren&#8217;t as many opportunities going forward to fund this,&#8221; Infometrics principal economist Brad Olsen told\u00a0<em>Checkpoint<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You have to keep going with this tax cut &#8211; Christopher Luxon has made it very clear that this is his bottom line.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I think most likely the two areas you could see are either a phasing in of these tax changes, so the foreign buyers tax would go &#8211; but maybe instead of coming in immediately, the indexation of tax thresholds might take a little longer.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Or, you might see a cutback, a further deeper cutback in the likes of public sector funding to instead fund that tax relief.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"photo-captioned photo-captioned-full photo-cntr eight_col \"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/rnz-ressh.cloudinary.com\/image\/upload\/s--SyHDEIHf--\/ar_16:10,c_fill,f_auto,g_auto,q_auto,w_1050\/v1692584916\/4L3XDBH_B_Olsen_3_jpg\" alt=\"Brad Olsen\" width=\"1050\" height=\"700\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"photo-captioned__information\"><span class=\"caption\">Brad Olsen.\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"credit\">Photo:\u00a0RNZ \/ Samuel Rillstone<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>If that were the case, the government would have to expand its planned cuts, he said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I suspect that at the level we&#8217;re talking about it would have to be a bit more across the board.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>With coalition talks\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/political\/502264\/highly-unlikely-christopher-luxon-will-attend-apec-summit\">in their second week<\/a>, there are no signs a deal is close.<\/p>\n<p>New Zealand First voted for the foreign buyers ban while in coalition with Labour, and was flatly opposed to partially rolling it back.<\/p>\n<p>The National Party was already looking at making\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/political\/499024\/election-2023-national-party-fiscal-plan-promises-lower-taxes-disciplined-government-spending\">large cuts in spending<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>If jobs are going to be cut from the public sector, it will require the new government to sell that to the public and workers.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;ll be critical for the incoming government to be clear over what it wants to achieve with the public sector, because otherwise you&#8217;re going to have a lot of those public sector leaders who are needing to make cuts and needing to make tough decisions around staffing levels without knowing exactly what areas they&#8217;re going to require staffing.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;You&#8217;ll need to have an idea of what still needs to be resourced and what areas are seen to be not as key in focus &#8211; those are the areas that I think are more likely to come in the cuts that are envisaged.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Olsen said that all the parties&#8217; plans and proposals were coming up against reality during the negotiations.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;None of these plans avoid first contact with reality. They&#8217;re always good on paper, but you&#8217;re never sure exactly what comes out of coalition negotiations.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Other options could be floated to pay for National&#8217;s plans such as increasing corporate tax, but Olsen said he was not sure there was strong support among the parties.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Although we&#8217;ve certainly seen some big corporate profits being made by the banks in recent days, actual corporate profits overall are now over 10 percent lower than they were a year ago, so you risk not getting quite as much revenue as you might have originally expected.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The other challenge of course is that none of the parties went to the electorate with that in mind&#8230; I don&#8217;t see that to be an immediate starter.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I wouldn&#8217;t discount the idea that some of these changes might well be pushed out. It&#8217;s clear that there are limited fiscal options. Possibly a more prudent way to do this would instead of introducing some of that tax relief immediately, there might have to be a bit more staggering that goes on.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>rnz<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The incoming prime minister maintains his government will reduce taxes, but Christopher Luxon has been less willing to stand by\u00a0the overseas home buyers policy\u00a0that is meant to fund it. National&#8217;s election promise would allow foreign buyers to purchase homes for $2 million or more, as long as they pay a 15 percent tax on the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":8383,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[222,174],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","category-nz-news"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8382"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8382\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8384,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8382\/revisions\/8384"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}