{"id":18589,"date":"2026-09-24T05:25:13","date_gmt":"2026-09-23T17:25:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=18589"},"modified":"2026-09-24T05:25:13","modified_gmt":"2026-09-23T17:25:13","slug":"six-to-nine-months-more-of-flat-housing-market-cotality-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/?p=18589","title":{"rendered":"Six to nine months more of flat housing market, Cotality says"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">News that Labour has ruled out reintroducing its interest deductibility ban <a class=\"underline-brand-hover visited:text-foreground-secondary hover:visited:text-foreground-primary\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/politics_election-2026\/1509858\/property-investors-relieved-at-labour-s-landlord-tax-deduction-promise\">may bring more property investors back<\/a> into the market, data firm Cotality says.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It was revealed this week that Labour <a class=\"underline-brand-hover visited:text-foreground-secondary hover:visited:text-foreground-primary\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/news\/politics_election-2026\/1497062\/labour-rules-out-changes-to-interest-deductibility-settings-for-landlords-if-elected\">will not reintroduce its policy<\/a> if it is returned to government. It had previously phased out the amount of interest that investors could claim as a deductible expense against their rental income. The current Government overturned that when it took power.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">The policy was extremely unpopular with investors, who argued that all other businesses are able to claim their costs of borrowing as an expense.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Cotality chief property economist Kelvin Davidson said it might make a difference to their willingness to purchase properties.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"pt-4 mb-16 print:hidden\">\n<div>\n<div class=\"h-screen max-h-[calc(10rem*var(--base-multiplier))] min-h-[calc(6rem*var(--base-multiplier))]\">\n<section class=\"@container\/queue-media relative w-full h-full bg-surface-muted\" aria-label=\"Audio player - Why do I pay tax on my KiwiSaver?\">\n<div class=\"flex h-full\">\n<div class=\"@[16.25em]\/queue-media:block bg-theme-primary relative hidden aspect-square h-full flex-none overflow-hidden\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"absolute h-full w-full object-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/media.rnztools.nz\/rnz\/image\/upload\/s--sYbpB-5t--\/t_kt-podcast-internal-cover-high\/f_auto,w_100\/4K1PJUZ_no_stupid_questions_with_susan_edmunds_cover_internal_png?_a=BAMAMikS0\" alt=\"\" width=\"100\" height=\"100\" aria-hidden=\"true\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"@container\/queue-media-content h-full w-full\">\n<div class=\"flex h-full w-full flex-grow flex-col justify-between overflow-hidden p-8\">\n<div class=\"text-foreground-primary flex flex-col gap-4 light-theme\">\n<h2 class=\"order-2 mb-4 text-pretty line-clamp-2 text-sm\"><span class=\"block\">Why do I pay tax on my KiwiSaver?<\/span><\/h2>\n<div class=\"order-1 flex items-baseline gap-8 text-xs leading-snug\"><a class=\"font-sans-semibold underline-brand-hover line-clamp-1 pb-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rnz.co.nz\/podcast\/no-stupid-questions\">No Stupid Questions with Susan Edmunds<\/a><span class=\"whitespace-nowrap tabular-nums text-xs text-foreground-primary\"><time datetime=\"2026-09-23\">23 September 2026<\/time><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"flex items-center justify-between gap-4\">\n<div class=\"@[6.5em]\/queue-media-content:gap-8 flex flex-grow items-center gap-4\"><button class=\"group\/button font-sans-semibold flex-shrink-0 items-center justify-center gap-8 whitespace-nowrap rounded-full border leading-normal flex h-24 w-24 [&amp;&gt;svg]:h-[calc(1.8rem*var(--base-multiplier))] [&amp;&gt;svg]:w-[calc(1.8rem*var(--base-multiplier))] hover:bg-surface-hover hover:text-white dark-theme bg-surface-accent text-foreground-primary border-transparent\" type=\"button\" aria-label=\"Play Why do I pay tax on my KiwiSaver?\"><\/button><\/p>\n<div class=\"@container\/queue-add-button inline-flex w-full\"><button class=\"group\/button font-sans-semibold flex-shrink-0 items-center justify-center gap-8 whitespace-nowrap rounded-full border leading-normal flex gap-[calc(0.5rem*var(--base-multiplier))] px-8 pb-[calc(0.25rem*var(--base-multiplier))] pt-[calc(0.15rem*var(--base-multiplier))] text-sm hover:bg-surface-hover hover:text-white light-theme border-stroke-strong text-foreground-primary bg-transparent hover:border-surface-hover @[4.38em]\/queue-add-button:flex hidden\" type=\"button\" aria-label=\"Queue Why do I pay tax on my KiwiSaver?\"><span class=\"inline-flex items-center gap-[calc(0.3rem*var(--base-multiplier))]\"><span class=\"font-sans-normal\">Queue<\/span><\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<div class=\"sr-only\" aria-live=\"polite\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"ml-auto flex h-full items-center gap-4\">\n<div class=\"relative -top-4 right-2 h-24 w-24\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;I don&#8217;t expect a rush of investment activity, there is still uncertainty about job security, rents are still fairly flat, operational costs have gone up with council rates and home insurance&#8230; and capital gains tax is on the radar.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;But I was hearing on the ground quite a bit that investors who were holding off were doing so largely because they were unsure about interest deductibility changes if Labour got into power and phased it out again, it would have been quite a big hit to their cash flow.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;Now that uncertainty is gone, it will be interesting to see what happens. It may set the scene for a bit of an investor comeback.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Investors are currently about 23 percent of the marker, a bit lower than their long-term average. First-home buyers remain at record highs.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Cotality&#8217;s latest data shows there were 6175 property deals done in August, down 11.6 percent from the same time a year earlier.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">It was the eighth drop in a row.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"float-right ml-16 max-w-[47.5%] pb-8 pt-4 print:hidden\">\n<div class=\"grid justify-center\">\n<figure class=\"mx-auto table\">\n<div class=\"image-ring flex w-full max-w-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"ml:max-h-[50rem] max-w-full aspect-square object-contain\" src=\"https:\/\/media.rnztools.nz\/rnz\/image\/upload\/s--Gg3SASlq--\/t_kt-crop-1x1\/w_292\/f_auto\/q_auto:eco\/4M3KDE6_copyright_image_276031\" alt=\"Kelvin Davidson\" width=\"292\" height=\"292\" \/><\/div><figcaption class=\"border-stroke-default w-full border-b py-12 text-sm *:inline table-caption caption-bottom mt-auto\">Kelvin Davidson<\/p>\n<p class=\"text-foreground-secondary flex-shrink-0 ml-4\">SUPPLIED<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;Each month this year has been lower than the same month last year, but the falls haven&#8217;t been massive in those previous months from January to July, sort of 4 percent to 5 percent,&#8221; Davidson said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;We saw the August number was down almost 12 percent. It does stand out a little bit &#8230; there&#8217;s no real obvious driver for that in August. It feels as if it might have been a timing issue and we might actually see September&#8217;s number is not quite as weak. But then September is probably going to be affected by renewed fuel price increases and a lack of confidence.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">He said sales were running at a rate of about 89,000 a year. That was below average but well up on the 65,000 recorded in 2022 and 2023.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Davidson said the number of properties on the market was high and was likely to increase as the spring &#8220;selling season&#8221; took hold.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;It will be interesting to see what happens in September if we don&#8217;t get such a bounce back and it extends that run of caution.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Property values nationwide dropped 1.3 percent over three months and 1 percent over a year. They are still down 18 percent from their peak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Christchurch was the outlier, up 0.2 percent over three months.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">Rising mortgage rates were unlikely to help market confidence but Davidson said the big driver was the labour market.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">&#8220;People can withstand higher mortgage rates if they see job creation and they see employment security and they feel as if, if they lost their job, they would easily find a new one &#8230; the labour market has a really big role to play here.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">He said it could be six to nine months before any real movement happened in the market.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\">He said rents were flat or slightly rising but a sharp increase was unlikely.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"font-serif-text mb-12 leading-normal\">\n<p class=\"[&amp;_em]:font-serif-text-italic [&amp;_cite]:font-serif-text-italic\"><a class=\"underline-brand-hover visited:text-foreground-secondary hover:visited:text-foreground-primary\" href=\"https:\/\/rnz.us6.list-manage.com\/subscribe?u=211a938dcf3e634ba2427dde9&amp;id=b4c9a30ed6\">Sign up for Money with Susan Edmunds<\/a><strong class=\"font-serif-text-medium\">, a weekly newsletter covering all the things that affect how we make, spend and invest money.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>rnz<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>News that Labour has ruled out reintroducing its interest deductibility ban may bring more property investors back into the market, data firm Cotality says. It was revealed this week that Labour will not reintroduce its policy if it is returned to government. It had previously phased out the amount of interest that investors could claim [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":18590,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[222,174],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18589","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-latest-news","category-nz-news"],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18589","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=18589"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18589\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18591,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18589\/revisions\/18591"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/18590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=18589"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=18589"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thebuzz.apnanetwork.co.nz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=18589"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}